As the 2026 storm season takes shape, many loss outcomes are already being set — long before storms materialize.

As carriers prepare for the 2026 season, gaps are emerging between CAT model outputs and what is actually driving loss at the property level.
Those gaps are shaped by upstream underwriting and pricing decisions, the quality of underlying data, and how risk ultimately accumulates across portfolios.
This session explores the signals already influencing 2026 storm risk — many which sit outside traditional event-driven models.


How loss patterns from recent severe convective storms are reshaping how carriers should interpret risk heading into 2026
How data gaps and coarse assumptions at the property level create meaningful divergence between modeled risk and realized loss.
How accuracy, coverage, and consistency of underwriting data increasingly determine portfolio outcomes.
How upstream underwriting and rating decisions shape pricing adequacy, portfolio stability, and reinsurance terms — long before a storm forms.